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What is the probability to die in a single tour of duty in Iraq?

Currently. Also, what is the probability of getting wounded?

Please leave politics out of this and - if possible - cite sources.

Public Comments

1. About 5 per every 1000. Depends almost entirely upon your job speciality. Most of the 5 will be grunts. Semper Fi.http://web.mit.edu/CIS/pdf/Human_Cost_of_War.pdf

2. About 3,200 have been killed (that we know of) in 5 years with about 120,000 soldiers there on any given day.

But a larger percentage of those are suicides than u might think.

In Jan, 2004, 519 soldiers had been killed, 22 were suicides.

3. It's about 5 times as likely as if you were in the highest homicide in America city. The math goes like this:
Per the reference below for example, the homicide is a bit higher than 40 per 100,000. We have 150,000 military in Iraq and the cumulative death over the last 15 years is over 3000 or 200 per year. Working with round numbers, therefore it's about 5 times as likely. Of course, individual cases would vary as some are more careful than others.

4. For U.S. military personnel there is a 0.33% (3.3 per1000) chance of death and a 3.4% (34 per 1000) chance for injury. That is from all causes not just combat. 18.5% of reported fatalities are not combat related.

Appendix D of the first reference.
http://web.mit.edu/CIS/pdf/Human_Cost_of_War.pdf
http://icasualties.org/oif/

5. IT ALL DEPENDS ON WHAT YOUR JOB IS, AND WHERE YOUR AT. IF YOUR OUT ON THE RAOD, THEN YOU HAVE A BETTER CHANCE OF GETTING KILLED. IF YOUR BEHIND A DESK, NOT LIKELY. ALSO DEPENDS WHERE YOUR AT. IF YOUR IN A PLACE THAT GETS MORTARED ALOT, THEN IT DOESNT MATTER IF YOU GO OUT ON THE ROAD.